Monday, February 16, 2015

New thoughts from Professor Karmon Ely as the situation in the Middle East heats up... yet again.


Karmon Ely ekarmon@idc.ac.il

7:12 AM (21 minutes ago)
to Karmon
My article "The Strategic Imperative to Deny an Iranian/Hezbollah Base on the Golan Border" dealt with the attempt by Iran and Hezbollah to build a new strategic base in the northern Syrian Golan Heights and was posted on my Times of Israel blog at
http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-strategic-imperative-to-deny-an-iranianhezbollah-basis-on-the-golan-border/

In the Hebrew version, which I disseminated on January 28, I mentioned also the threat of the presence of jihadist rebels – especially the al-Qaeda affiliated Jabhat al-Nusra - on the Golan border and the need to avoid a situation in which these groups become a direct threat to Israel, as it happened with the Hamas/Muslim Brothehood movement in the West Bank and Gaza in the 1970s and 1980s.

Jonathan Spyer in his article "The Iran Axis Strikes Back in Golan Region" gives a detailed picture of the rebel and jihadist presence in the Golan area and southern Syria and the dilemma this poses to Israel and the Western supporters of the Syrian opposition.
See his excellent article at http://www.meforum.org/5033/syria-iran-axis
Meanwhile, there is now more information concerning the Iranian, Hezbollah and Syrian effort to reconquer terrain and build a territorial base under Iranian control on the Israeli Golan border.
No doubt, Israel's policy vis-à-vis the Syrian opposition and especially its jihadists elements needs to be carefully discussed in the public and academic arena.
Sorry for duplicates.

Ely Karmon, PhD
Senior Research Scholar
International Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT) and
The Institute for Policy and Strategy (IPS) at
The Interdisciplinary Center (IDC(
Herzlyia, Israel
Tel.:   972-9-9527277
Cell.: 972-52-2653306
Fax.: 972-9-9513073, 972-9-7716653

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